HADR Institute Weekly Update

Welcome to this new edition of the HADR Institute Weekly Update, covering 19th-25th February 2024.

This update covers analysis on:

1️⃣ Tribal Conflict Exposing Vulnerable Groups - Papua New Guinea, and

2️⃣ El Niño Hazard Exposure - Ecuador

We also include two quick lessons to help boost your knowledge of humanitarian assistance and disaster relief. What are some of the ways through which you can gather intelligence? How does anticipatory action help in a humanitarian context? Find out below!

Thank you for reading and subscribing! Please feel free to reach out with requests or suggestions.

1. Papua New Guinea | Tribal Conflict Exposing Vulnerable Groups 

• Date Released: 26 Feb 24 [Correct as at: 25 Feb 24]

• Information Requirements Addressed:  PIR 1. What is the Disaster Risk | Human Conflict Hazard Exposure

Whilst tribal violence has had a longstanding history in Papua New Guinea, the spread of firearms and caches of ammunition has recently transformed inter-tribal violence into a more complex and deadlier challenge for the government.

The dynamics of tribal warfare, compounded by its system of retributive justice, make it probable that revenge killings, and therefore ongoing violence in the Enga province will continue to occur.

2. Ecuador | El Niño Hazard Exposure  

• Date Released: 27 Feb 24 [Correct as at: 24 Feb 24]

• Information Requirements Addressed: PIR 1. What is the Disaster Risk | Natural Hazard Exposure

Since the 20th of February, the coastal provinces of Ecuador have faced moderate to severe levels of flooding. The flooding has been the result of the El Niño phenomenon, high sea temperatures reaching 28oC, as well as other atmospheric conditions.

It is Likely the current El Niño event has increased exposure relative to the standard Inform assessment. With further flooding forecasted, there is increased risk of ongoing landslides, possible sinkholes, with a significant impact on infrastructure.

💻 Intelligence Essentials Quick Lesson: 

An overview of GEOINT, OSINT, and MASINT, emphasizing their critical roles in humanitarian operations and disaster management. Highlighting how these intelligence disciplines can amplify effectiveness in the field. 

To learn how to apply these skills, visit www.hadri.org.

🌏 Humanitarian Preparedness, Quick Lesson:

What is anticipatory action? "Anticipatory action allows humanitarians and affected communities to make informed decisions ahead of a humanitarian crisis – saving time and money; preventing displacement, disease, loss of livelihood; and preserving the dignity of those affected."

Anticipatory action allows more effective delivery: the FAO calculates that every dollar they invest in anticipatory action could give families seven dollars in benefits and avoided losses.

Preemptive humanitarian interventions, based on forecasts, can save lives and livelihoods. Anticipatory action is a smart way to respond to potential crises when it is possible to forecast a disaster.  Evidence shows that anticipatory action can be fast, economical, inclusive, dignified, and resilient – complementing traditional humanitarian responses. Yet, according to a report from the Centre for Disaster Protection, "just 0.2% (USD78 million) of humanitarian funding reported to the OECD DAC in 2021 was funding for anticipatory action."

UNDRR supports anticipatory action as a way to bridge the gap between longer-term disaster risk reduction efforts and humanitarian crisis response. With expertise in understanding risk and forecasting, and in building networks between national governments and the international community, UNDRR is well-positioned to act as an enabler of anticipatory action. The Global Risk Assessment Framework (GRAF) can also support the development of the necessary risk data and risk-analysis capabilities.  

Learn more at: https://www.preventionweb.net/understanding-disaster-risk/key-concepts/anticipatory-action

If you want these integrated into your NGO or agency, get in touch with [email protected]

👩‍🚒 How HADRI can help you/your organization

The HADR Institute has a broad number of contributors, with over 40 active members of diverse backgrounds and expertise. We can provide a range of services and analyses to on-the-ground organizations, NGOs and governments.

Access and read our capability statement here.

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